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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Fri Oct 30 23:37:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A COVID record four days before the election is not an October surprise in the sense that things have been trending badly and it was quite predictable. But the more that COVID has been at the forefront of people's concerns, the worse Trump has tended to do. — PolitiTweet.org

The COVID Tracking Project @COVID19Tracking

Our daily update is published. States reported a new record number of cases—97k—and 1.4 million tests. Currently, 4… https://t.co/zEOOPHW26C

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To make things more confusing, PA is the only (arguably) Northeastern state in this group, but the other Northeastern states that are sometimes competitive in presidential elections, NH and ME, are pretty similar to WI and MN in various ways. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @jbarro @MattZeitlin The thing to remember is that when the polls and the conventional wisdom depart, the polls often err in the opposite direction from what the conventional wisdom expects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2020 Hibernated