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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Mon Oct 26 17:40:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think there are basically 3 groups of polls that herd. 1) Some (certainly not most or all) online or IVR polls with crappy raw data seem to look to live-caller polls for guidance. They tend to stay pretty close to the averages throughout the year. — PolitiTweet.org

Kostya Medvedovsky @kmedved

Q. for @NateSilver538 - what exactly is the motivation behind pollster herding? I get it keeps your poll from 'look… https://t.co/QbD3ggkFPi

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump lead back up to 1.4 points in Texas after a couple of polls showing him ahead there today. https://t.co/nXOH1SNdLP https://t.co/CTT644rIB3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2. Some partisan and quasi-partisan pollsters seem to play a lot of games with the 538 and RCP averages. They don't want to stray *too* far from the average, but they'll often show results that are like the 538 or RCP average shifted by 2 points toward their side. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated