Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 4, 2021

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Sat Oct 24 21:24:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In terms of post-debate polling: We've got one day's worth of interviews from the 3 daily tracking polls. Biden moved up slightly in IBD/TIPP, down slightly in USC, and SurveyMonkey was unchanged. Plus a Gravis Marketing poll in PA, fully post-debate (Biden +7). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor @Nate_Cohn Our correlations actually are based on microdata. The Economist guys continually make weird assumptions about our model that they might realize were incorrect if they bothered to read the methodology. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That Gravis result is a good one for Biden, as IVR polls haven't tended to be friendly to him, although Gravis hasn't polled much recently so it's a bit hard to put it into context. But I wouldn't make too much of one IVR poll and the prior should be that the race is ~unchanged. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated