Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 3, 2021

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Fri Oct 23 23:10:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes Probably true in most places, but in NY and some other states with good testing programs, maybe less so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This site, which adjusts for testing volume, estimates that all but 4 states and DC have increasing caseloads right now. In some cases, it's a pretty flat slope, but there's a more serious increase (Rt of 1.1 or above) in about half the country right now. https://t.co/oAQ2y08bJ5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One way to think about Trump's chances: if the polls move toward Trump in the closing days rather than Biden (50/50 chance) *and* there's a polling error in Trump's favor (50/50 chance) then he's 50/50 to win. That gets you to his 1 in 8 odds in our current forecast. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated