Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 31, 2021

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Fri Oct 23 18:12:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, our forecasts have been very steady in these states and the Upshot/Siena polls showing narrow Republican leads have been right in line with our model's expectations. https://t.co/hQmmekjjW5 https://t.co/eXKFTgV1jS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is true but I think a lot of the problem is that expectations ran a little ahead of themselves in states where Democrats have a decent shot (and still do) but Republicans were always favored. — PolitiTweet.org

NYT-Siena polls have in rapid succession thrown some cold water on Dem Senate pickups in likely Trump states - Alas… https://t.co/jWk4McMWbj

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And while it's tempting to think that all of these races will break in the same direction (so e.g. either Democrats lose all 4 or say win 3 of 4 in an epic landslide) this is a pretty quirky set of states/candidates/circumstances so I'm not sure that's necessarily true. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2020 Hibernated