Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 31, 2021

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Thu Oct 22 20:18:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd note to pollsters that our pollster rating algorithm detects herding and it will result in a lower rating when it's confident that's what's going on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Plausible! Also, especially after the debate, we're going to start to get a lot of "final" polls, which is when the herding really starts to kick in. — PolitiTweet.org

My favorite new wildcat polling theory is now that the 538 average is seen as the “Wall Street consensus” you have… https://t.co/UTxB004Inw

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FYI, if you scroll down to the bottom of our forecast, you can find a link to download TONS of additional data that we don't show on the interactive. That includes these turnout estimates, joint probabilities of winning POTUS + Congress... and much more. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/oiH1YDTQmT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated