Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 31, 2021

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Thu Oct 22 20:17:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Plausible! Also, especially after the debate, we're going to start to get a lot of "final" polls, which is when the herding really starts to kick in. — PolitiTweet.org

My favorite new wildcat polling theory is now that the 538 average is seen as the “Wall Street consensus” you have… https://t.co/UTxB004Inw

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe it helps rev up Trump's base a bit and gives him a higher floor, but Trump can't win if the Dem base is also revved up and independents are voting for Biden by 15 points. He needs to focus on persuadable voters to have a shot here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd note to pollsters that our pollster rating algorithm detects herding and it will result in a lower rating when it's confident that's what's going on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated