Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 31, 2021

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Thu Oct 22 19:31:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, the turnout estimates don't affect the probabilities in our model—they're just sort of a side project—but we thought it was worth putting a little extra work into them as we've seen people citing the numbers here and there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've also increased our estimate based on academic research showing expanded voting options (e.g. no-excuse absentee voting) tends to increase turnout, as well as new @ElectProject estimates of the voting-eligible population, which is higher than what we'd used previously. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No indication at all of a decline in Joe Biden's favorability ratings, which is what Trump presumably would be hoping for if the Hunter Biden stuff was working. https://t.co/CSYlKWosPO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated