Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked July 31, 2021

Created

Thu Oct 22 19:28:18 +0000 2020

Likes

1,501

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've also increased our estimate based on academic research showing expanded voting options (e.g. no-excuse absentee voting) tends to increase turnout, as well as new @ElectProject estimates of the voting-eligible population, which is higher than what we'd used previously. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The primary ingredient in our turnout estimate is polls that ask people whether they're more or less enthusiastic about voting than usual, and those polls are showing record levels of enthusiasm. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, the turnout estimates don't affect the probabilities in our model—they're just sort of a side project—but we thought it was worth putting a little extra work into them as we've seen people citing the numbers here and there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated