Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Thu Oct 22 17:02:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Alternatively, I suppose, it could be that lots of Republicans will never return their mail ballots at all. If that signifies an "enthusiasm gap" favoring Democrats, that's bad news for Republican candidates up and down the ballot, obviously. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This gap has actually expanded slightly. Returned mail ballots are D+30, while mail ballots **requested but not yet returned** are D+14. The mail ballots that come in late in the process—which in many states, means they'll be counted later—may not be especially blue. — PolitiTweet.org

So far, returned mail ballots are D +31 (not a surprise given what polls show) whereas the set of mail ballots that… https://t.co/xucUHvAcfv

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, me too. I'm going to get the vaccine as soon as I'm able to given whatever criteria NY State sets up. — PolitiTweet.org

please, by all means, be as skeptical of the covid vaccine as you want, more for me

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated