Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Thu Oct 22 15:12:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, people treating it as some Law of Nature that Republicans overperform their polls in MI/PA/WI need to recall that exactly the opposite happened in 2012. — PolitiTweet.org

One reason some people (me!) under-rated Trump's final numbers in 2016 is that, four years earlier, Obama had consi… https://t.co/FJDZkWuHaC

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @cjane87: My treatise: Donald Trump’s campaign is too dang Online. https://t.co/BOAstGu8EW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This gap has actually expanded slightly. Returned mail ballots are D+30, while mail ballots **requested but not yet returned** are D+14. The mail ballots that come in late in the process—which in many states, means they'll be counted later—may not be especially blue. — PolitiTweet.org

So far, returned mail ballots are D +31 (not a surprise given what polls show) whereas the set of mail ballots that… https://t.co/xucUHvAcfv

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated