Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 18:09:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With Suffolk (Biden +6) and Quinnipiac (Biden +8, but treat it more like +6 given their house effect) out in PA today, though, it does go to show that the higher-quality polls show a more solid Biden lead there than the spammy stuff that dominates certain other polling averages. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A bit of mean-reversion here. Quinnipiac had Biden up 13 in Pennsylvania in their previous poll, but Trump ahead by 5 in Texas. These are closer to where Q polls have usually been this year, i.e. maybe 2 points better for Biden than the averages in those states. — PolitiTweet.org

Quinnipiac poll: Texas tied, 47 to 47 percent. Cornyn+6. Biden +8 in Pennsylvania, 51 to 43. https://t.co/47zbRCaNa7

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I mean, Texas is a state where I'd still expect Republicans to win the close calls, but also a state where it's pretty hard to project turnout. So I can see why he's nervous although he's *probably* OK. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated