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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 13:48:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a ton of national polling so no one poll is going to influence our average much. And there's nothing intrinsically wrong with the IBD poll. But that won't stop some people from looking only at that poll and not the many other polls in the average. https://t.co/HnhenaVq5D — PolitiTweet.org

Josh Marshall @joshtpm

@NateSilver538 I don't think your widget has a way to isolate a single pollster but i was also curious how much is… https://t.co/3YTQfsMPnF

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As @Nate_Cohn wrote yesterday, there are also some reasons to think the race might tighten a bit. Indeed, that's what our model predicts (it has Biden winning the popular vote by ~8, not ~10). But Trump needs it to tighten by *more than a bit*. https://t.co/laZtZZGXIC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Looking at the polling average vs. cherry-picking polls is the lowest bar to clear. If someone isn't able to do that, then maybe they have valuable insights about other topics but they don't know what they're doing on polling stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated