Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 13:40:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As @Nate_Cohn wrote yesterday, there are also some reasons to think the race might tighten a bit. Indeed, that's what our model predicts (it has Biden winning the popular vote by ~8, not ~10). But Trump needs it to tighten by *more than a bit*. https://t.co/laZtZZGXIC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You could probably convince me that the race has tightened by half a point. On the other hand, there had been a bit of a state poll vs. national poll gap, and Biden got some pretty good state polls this morning. https://t.co/9AeTKX5o0O https://t.co/IDJoUFSLJ6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a ton of national polling so no one poll is going to influence our average much. And there's nothing intrinsically wrong with the IBD poll. But that won't stop some people from looking only at that poll and not the many other polls in the average. https://t.co/HnhenaVq5D — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 I don't think your widget has a way to isolate a single pollster but i was also curious how much is… https://t.co/3YTQfsMPnF

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated