Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Tue Oct 20 23:12:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@billscher @ForecasterEnten NYT, which I think is even more aggressive than 538 about weighting toward higher-quality polls (our weights aren't actually *that* strong) has it as 7. https://t.co/Yz4fwJqrDN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, our *forecast* is for a Biden popular vote win by 8.2 points, notably smaller than his lead in national polls (+10.3). That's because i) the forecast is mostly based on state polls, which been a bit less bad for Trump and ii) the model still expects a pinch of tightening. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm on the side that says $ is overrated in presidential races but "how did the Trump campaign end up with so little money" is one of the more unexpected turns. — PolitiTweet.org

NEWS: Trump's campaign committee expected to report only **~$63 million** entering Oct. That's about half of what… https://t.co/ufMYaomcu9

Posted Oct. 20, 2020 Hibernated