Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Tue Oct 20 20:24:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes Probably, yeah, although it's hard to know since we don't get many polls of non-competitive states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Historically, state polls (if used properly) can often give you a better estimate of the national popular vote than national polls, although recently a lot of the higher-quality data has been on the national side so this might be an exception. https://t.co/L7bcUHUGzv — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To reiterate this point, on one of Trump better days of polling recently, he only decreased Biden's odds from a 87.5% chance of winning the Electoral College as of our final model run last night to 87.2% now. (Not a statistically significant change.) https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2020 Hibernated