Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 8, 2021

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Sun Oct 18 15:37:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Protentialmn I don't think these markets have made a ton of sense this election, but I'd guess it's probably traders overestimating the impact of the Hunter Biden story. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...and those narratives tend to be stated with a high degree of confidence, because the weaker the argument on the evidence, the more people tend to bolster it with tone, affect, emotional appeals, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One irony of Trump folks saying not to trust the polls is that they *really really need the polls to be right about one particular thing* which is that huge numbers of Trump voters are waiting until Election Day to vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated