Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 8, 2021

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Sun Oct 18 15:34:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...and those narratives tend to be stated with a high degree of confidence, because the weaker the argument on the evidence, the more people tend to bolster it with tone, affect, emotional appeals, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other thing that happens at about this time is that the side that's significantly trailing in polls will have to construct increasingly elaborate narratives about why they're #actually winning or will come from behind despite the seeming evidence to the contrary... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Protentialmn I don't think these markets have made a ton of sense this election, but I'd guess it's probably traders overestimating the impact of the Hunter Biden story. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 18, 2020 Hibernated