Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2021

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Fri Oct 16 18:07:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So you get a big cluster of outcomes at around Biden 413 electoral votes, which is where he wins all the toss-ups / lean R states (including Texas) but little if anything beyond that, although adding AK to that map (so 416 EV) also comes up decently often. https://t.co/HKvHyV4ANB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd also note that there's a pretty big gap in the snake chart here between Texas, where our forecast is Trump +3 (so not quite a tossup, but close) and then a group of states (Alaska, SC, MO, KS, MT) where we're in the range of Trump +7 to Trump +10. https://t.co/sq1hvIAJyE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People talk about how stable polls of the presidential race are but... do you know what's *really* stable? Polls of how people feel about Congress. https://t.co/7mfucyRAFG https://t.co/39nYTjH3Ud — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2020 Hibernated