Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Mon Oct 12 19:29:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But if Trump starts to delegitimize the election when it seems *very likely* that Biden will win (that, for instance, he's won FL and NC/PA/MI/WI all seem highly likely to vote for him but are not callable yet) that puts the networks in a tricky spot, I think. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd say no, because you can't assume the late-arriving mail ballots will have the same partisan composition as the ones you got so far. Maybe (especially given mixed messages from Trump) GOP voters were more likely to procrastinate before sending ballots in, for instance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Cunningham is losing ground with women and seniors since the sexting scandal but *gaining* ground with men and young voters, per this poll. — PolitiTweet.org

Cal Cunningham up 49%-39% over Tillis in new SurveyUSA poll. He's *improved* since the texting scandal -- he was up… https://t.co/fbUwd8DwWM

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated