Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Mon Oct 12 19:09:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But instead of spending a bit there as a hedge or deterrent, the Trump campaign is invested quite heavily in those states and underspending in some of the more likely tipping points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's also an element of game theory here. It can be dangerous you aren't spending resources on a state and the other campaign is on offense there, e.g. maybe GA or OH wouldn't be the tipping-point state ordinarily, but it could be if only Biden spent on them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Notably, the campaigns are also a bit over-indexed on states that could provide a quick call on Election Night, such as FL, NC, AZ and OH, while underspending on states like MI, WI and NV that probably won't be callable right away. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 12, 2020 Hibernated