Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Sun Oct 11 14:21:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

[citation needed] — PolitiTweet.org

.@NateSilver538 “The Trump 2016 Victory was the most shocking political development of my lifetime.” That’s only b… https://t.co/fD8MhKZvab

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What if there had been a 3-point swing toward Trump instead? Then we'd be at Biden +4 nationally, and likely at Biden +1/+2 in the tipping-point states. That's a very competitive race, obviously. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a vaguely similar sentiment expressed here. However, the point of that passage was that Trump's win actually *wasn't* much of a surprise based on the polls, at least according to 538's model. https://t.co/AaeqjeGR7G https://t.co/dCMXLbRhr4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated