Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 17, 2021

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Sun Oct 11 14:17:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What if there had been a 3-point swing toward Trump instead? Then we'd be at Biden +4 nationally, and likely at Biden +1/+2 in the tipping-point states. That's a very competitive race, obviously. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other slightly weird aside: the fact that there's been a fairly abrupt 3-point swing toward Biden shows that late polling swings still can occur and so might make you slightly wary of the notion that Biden's had this all in the bag the whole time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

[citation needed] — PolitiTweet.org

.@NateSilver538 “The Trump 2016 Victory was the most shocking political development of my lifetime.” That’s only b… https://t.co/fD8MhKZvab

Posted Oct. 11, 2020 Hibernated