Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Thu Oct 08 15:23:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Other small thing: although previous polling shifts were mostly determined by Trump's numbers rising or falling while Biden's held steady, we have seen an increase in Biden's # this time. Since the debate, he's gained 1.7 points while Trump has lost 1.1. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/TUqBUGOzgX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3) The forecast slightly dampens polling shifts after debates, to see whether they can he sustained. Bottom line: ordinarily you'd think the race is somewhat more likely to tighten than for Biden's lead to expand, although these are not normal times so who knows at this point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen I'm confused at this point about whether we should find the European deaths data (indeed increasing but not that quickly so far) to be good news or bad news on balance. https://t.co/k5I0BtQ4TB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 8, 2020 Hibernated