Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Wed Oct 07 23:49:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other thing I don't love about the obsession with partisan non-response bias is that if you're feeling too despondent about the election to answer a pollster's phone call, I'd also imagine you're less likely to turn out to vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And is it *that* hard to believe that a winning a debate + the president catching COVID (along with a dozen other people in the WH) while obviously not taking enough precautions would move the polls by 2-3 points? That's a pretty small move, all things considered. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BrendanNyhan *Inflated by partisan non-response bias* and *temporary because the news cycle will revert to the mean* are two different things. You suggested the former, I made some arguments against it. It's pretty annoying to accuse me of strawmanning when you're obfuscating what you said. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 8, 2020 Hibernated