Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Wed Oct 07 21:27:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The one real exception in the state polls is Florida, where Biden now leads by +4.6 and which has moved closer to the tipping point. That gives Biden a good backup plan if something goes wrong in the Midwest. Also makes an election night call more likely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden does seem to be running a little hot in national polls relative to state polls. He's had lots of *good* state polls and *some* eye-popping ones (Quinnipiac today), whereas there are lots of fireworks going off in the national polls. This is likely just random variation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think you could construct an argument why Florida is a good state for Biden. He seems to be doing much better than Clinton with older white voters. It has a lot of self-ID'ed independents, a Biden strength. He did well there in the primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated