Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Wed Oct 07 21:18:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden does seem to be running a little hot in national polls relative to state polls. He's had lots of *good* state polls and *some* eye-popping ones (Quinnipiac today), whereas there are lots of fireworks going off in the national polls. This is likely just random variation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

He's up 9.5 in our average but I'm too lazy to look up whether it would round up to 10 or down to 9. It's a big lead. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ — PolitiTweet.org

Biden up by 9.51 in our average nationwide, rounding up to Biden+10 https://t.co/XfT3uJD2T2

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The one real exception in the state polls is Florida, where Biden now leads by +4.6 and which has moved closer to the tipping point. That gives Biden a good backup plan if something goes wrong in the Midwest. Also makes an election night call more likely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated