Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Tue Oct 06 19:06:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A couple of implications: First, that's not a *false* sense of security. It's a *correct* sense of security and a response that indicates people are managing hard tradeoffs. I'd prefer to reserve the "false" label for "sanitization theater" interventions that have little effect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Let's say masks reduce transmission by 60% other things held equal, but people respond by going out and being around people 30% more often. So instead of reducing COVID spread by 60%, you reduce it by about 45-50% instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, the goal isn't solely to reduce COVID spread because physical isolation likely also has some very bad consequences. Any time we can reduce COVID spread without increasing isolation, or reduce isolation without increasing COVID spread, I would argue that is good. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated