Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Tue Oct 06 15:04:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The one saving grace for Trump is that Monmouth uses small-ish sample sizes (500 here, 400 in their previous polls) so they can bounce around a lot. They had Biden up 7-10 points in July but only 1-3 in August. Still, a really bad number for Trump here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Monmouth has Biden with an 8 or an 11 point lead in Pennsylvania, depending on which version of their likely voter model you prefer. That's an awfully poor result for Trmup given that Monmouth's state polls had been a bright spot for him lately. https://t.co/s32ZGD656G — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden now up 6.6 in our Pennsylvania polling average. And that's on a fairly robust set of polling. Individual polls since the debate there have him up +9.5 (Monmouth, averaging their two models), +7 (YouGov), +7 (Times/Siena) and +5 (Ipsos). https://t.co/s32ZGD656G https://t.co/cu0jVZOK7R — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated