Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Sep 28 19:42:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If PA starts polling more like MI/WI, all of the sudden the Electoral College/popular vote gap mostly disappears. If it starts polling more like AZ/FL, the gap is huge. Lately it's been somewhere in between. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is made slightly more complicated by the small states (NV, NH, ME-2, NE-2) but leaving those aside for now, and focusing on the larger states, here are our current polling averages: MI: Biden +6.9 WI: Biden +6.8 PA: Biden +4.9 AZ: Biden +3.6 FL: Biden +1.7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Small-ish thing, but note that Biden could lose Nevada if he's doing well with white voters in the North and wins back MI/PA/WI. Maps like these are not too crazy. https://t.co/xchuztg8OX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated