Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Sep 28 19:41:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is made slightly more complicated by the small states (NV, NH, ME-2, NE-2) but leaving those aside for now, and focusing on the larger states, here are our current polling averages: MI: Biden +6.9 WI: Biden +6.8 PA: Biden +4.9 AZ: Biden +3.6 FL: Biden +1.7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These are going to be pretty important polls. Pennsylvania is the tipping point state in around 1/3 of our simulations right now. — PolitiTweet.org

A nice way to close out before the debate. We'll have NYT/Siena in Pennsylvania tonight, as well https://t.co/vCUAkihsFA

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If PA starts polling more like MI/WI, all of the sudden the Electoral College/popular vote gap mostly disappears. If it starts polling more like AZ/FL, the gap is huge. Lately it's been somewhere in between. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated