Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Sep 24 18:30:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With Biden getting some strong polls in the Midwest over the past few days but some mediocre ones in TX/AZ, we're starting to get a clearer signal that his gains relative to Clinton are mostly among white working-class voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* I know that's a slightly strawman-ish formulation. Few places in the world are truly "locked down" right now, etc. But my observation is that US-based public health experts slightly overestimate the public's tolerance for refraining from in-person social contact. 4/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, there's going to be a lot of variability from state to state, depending on whether 1) mail ballots must be RECEIVED by Election Day or merely postmarked by Election Day and 2) whether states count mail votes before/after/simultaneously with in-person votes. — PolitiTweet.org

I really wish some would stop claiming that mail ballot totals are not the 1st reported on election night bc in man… https://t.co/Dgp7MF0cPV

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated