Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Sep 24 17:56:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* I know that's a slightly strawman-ish formulation. Few places in the world are truly "locked down" right now, etc. But my observation is that US-based public health experts slightly overestimate the public's tolerance for refraining from in-person social contact. 4/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It may be waiting longer for a vaccine we're more certain is effective is "worth it", especially if it helps to facilitate public trust. But I wouldn't bank on "we can just count on social distancing for another X months in early/mid 2021*" as necessarily being viable. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With Biden getting some strong polls in the Midwest over the past few days but some mediocre ones in TX/AZ, we're starting to get a clearer signal that his gains relative to Clinton are mostly among white working-class voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated