Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 23 18:58:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Couple small model notes: 1. In Maine, which has ranked choice voting, the model will now prefer to use the versions of the polls that show the results after second choices are accounted for. (Before, we had been averaging the pre- and post-reallocation versions together.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Notes: 1. The state vs. national stuff is probably just noise, don't overthink it 2. "Good for Trump" is relative in this context. Anything that makes it seem like Trump has a credible path to victory is good for him relative to other polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These versions tend to be slightly worse for Collins, FWIW. We'll also be doing this for the presidential race, but it doesn't make much difference there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated