Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 22 14:29:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The simple answer here has always been that the GOP would confirm someone, because it's worth an awful lot to them, and also that they'll pay a price for doing so, because it's worth paying a price for something that's worth a lot to you. — PolitiTweet.org

I mean I dunno what's gonna happen with the Supreme Court. But I do think people are overthinking it a bit. Probabl… https://t.co/n9mOU2ndBw

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the other hand, mail ballots are rejected at higher rates than in-person ballots, and that discrepancy might be higher when a lot of people are voting for the first time. So a party that does more mail voting could underperform polls. It's hard to say which effect is larger. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By paying a price ... the polling suggests this is an unpopular move, perhaps verging on *very* unpopular depending on which poll you look at. So, it's likely to make it harder (though far from impossible) for the GOP to hold the Senate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated