Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Tue Sep 22 06:12:17 +0000 2020

Likes

1,529

Retweets

165

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I do think the transition to high rates of mail voting is one of the bigger potential sources of polling error, especially with the mail vote likely to be disproportionately Democratic, although it's hard to know in which direction the error might occur. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anything that affects Pennsylvania (even say to the tune of a 1% shift there) is a big deal. — PolitiTweet.org

If you're not up to speed on this situation, here's a good explainer by @Elaijuh. The "naked ballot" rate has commo… https://t.co/rcwEcDnTnI

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One one hand, there's evidence mail voting increases turnout. A number of people (perhaps 5-15% in a presidential election) deemed "likely voters" in polls don't actually wind up voting, conversely. So a party that "locks in" its votes via mail voting might over-perform polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated