Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 26, 2021

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Mon Sep 21 18:00:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FYI, in response to criticisms along these lines, USC is now showing a 14-day version of their poll. It has been much more stable, and that's the one we'll be using in our polling averages going forward. https://t.co/9oj2jlKZD8 — PolitiTweet.org

Here's something odd about the USC poll that makes it hard to interpret. The poll consists of a panel of people who… https://t.co/kuTOeLDlQM

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So the GOP probably loses those seats BUT gets a conservative justice, whom McSally and Gardner will vote for. Which net-net is a good trade. (One Supreme Court >> 2 Senate seats for 6 years). The GOP has the luxury of having a lot of cards to play to make those sorts of trades. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It doesn't seem completely far-fetched to imagine a world where Trump was for lockdowns and Democrats were against them. In that world, you'd probably see more of this kind of thing, i.e. an argument from the left that lockdowns perpetuate inequality. https://t.co/nCmTxBnT7w — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated