Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 15, 2021

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Sun Sep 20 13:47:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

—wide enough that it would be clear soon enough (probably on election night based on states that counted ballots quickly; if not, soon thereafter) that Biden was the legitimate winner. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Possible? OK. How likely? I don't know, and am not sure how you'd go about estimating it. But it is not "probable, barring some extreme actions". It is not the base case. That's in part because the base case (if polls are right) involves Biden winning by a pretty wide margin— — PolitiTweet.org

The base case now is Trump loses popular vote, falsely challenges legitimacy of key votes and wins reelection via p… https://t.co/awYNzeGeUm

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Could courts put a thumb on the scale for Trump in the case of a close or ambiguous result? Sure. They very well might. But that's an order of magnitude or two removed from overturning an obvious Biden victory. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated