Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Sep 19 18:21:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3. If he says "then it would be up to the Democrats" ... but re-negs and tries to confirm anyway ... OK, maybe? But that could be wildly unpopular, might lose a couple of institutionalist senators, and could trigger retaliation from Democrats (e.g. expanding the court). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1. If McConnell says "then we'll confirm them in the lame-duck session anyway", they can do that... but then that also "takes the prize off the table". 2. If he says "then it would be up to the Democrats" ... and holds firm to that... well, he's losing a Supreme Court seat. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

4. Finally, he could say, "we'll, will see". But, people would probably (correctly) assume that means "we'll confirm anyway". Also, I'm not sure spitting the baby in that way avoids some combination of the other problems, or if the ambiguity does say Susan Collins any favors. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020 Hibernated