Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 18 18:58:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, I'm fine with almost every Trump Still Has A Chance take. (Because... he *does*). That was basically the headline on our feature when we launched our model! But don't pretend it's some sort of bold, contrarian take! It may be the most conventional opinion of all time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But for the time being, most of Trump's not-inconsiderable hopes of winning re-election stem from tightening the race. Either tightening it to the point where the swing states are actually a toss-up, or at least enough that a *small* polling error (~2 points) would do the trick. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, maybe I should have been clearer about that. Biden does have a little wiggle room here. These states give him 290 EV. So, e.g., he could lose PA (as long as he holds everything else) or lose MI + NH or WI + MN. https://t.co/JwQ8eqabNN — PolitiTweet.org

A note for those without an obsessive electoral college calculator in their heads: AZ/WI/MI/MN gets Biden to 270 *i… https://t.co/NyWWYyytJy

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated