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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 18 15:04:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It’s definitely a little weird. Maybe there are secular trends in both states where AZ is going to do that CO/VA thing where it goes from red to blue without spending much time at purple, and maybe in FL the people who self-select to retire there are increasingly MAGA. But weird. — PolitiTweet.org

Patrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini

Another question is, if white seniors are the sweet spot for a Trump -> Biden shift, why Biden isn't doing better i… https://t.co/HaCZ2g…

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously there's a lot going on here—other countries may have less COVID and/or better non-lockdown strategies (e.g. testing/tracing)—but there's sort of this myth that the US is uniquely cavalier when actually our control measures are on the stricter side vs. the average. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

“Biden’s doing super well in AZ *and* in WI/MN/MI but *not* FL or PA” is a story that’s a bit hard to reconcile if there are uniform swings among demographic groups. So either there’s some secular stuff going on in these states or the polling averages are noisy/wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated