Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 18 12:02:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why uphill? Democrats *probably* need 4 or 5 pickups, depending on the presidency, since Doug Jones is an underdog in AL-Sen. A lot of these races are against incumbents in red states. Still, Democrats have so many opportunities (~12!) that they're slight favorites to do it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As charmingly explained here, the difference in the model versions reflects the fact that while Democrats' polling in individual Senate races is quite strong, fundamentals and expert ratings reflect a somewhat uphill battle. https://t.co/ByySuGC8cD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you're hungry for even more Senate Model content, we've also got a Model Talk up for ya: https://t.co/S0dRRjgtLs — PolitiTweet.org

Democrats are “slightly favored” to win the Senate according to our new 2020 Senate forecast. Here’s… https://t.co/W6WpDr6UqW

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated