Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Sep 17 11:54:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You could get some mileage, I guess, by comparing the poll says to what it said ~14 days ago. But that still makes it a lagging indicator. In 2016, they polled people once every 7 days so the entire panel was represented in their 7-day window, a far more logical/coherent design. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So effectively, it's as though they have *two* panels rather than one, that get cycled in and out for one another over a 14-day period (plus some additional lag). Perhaps predictably, the poll is following an oscillating pattern so far over a ~14-day cycle. https://t.co/l53cqaMZe1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact that re-opening, especially of schools, became so polarized along political lines is likely contributing to stupid policy decisions on all sides of the equation. — PolitiTweet.org

Unbelievable. Infection rates in New York are very low. If school should be able to open in-person anywhere, it’s h… https://t.co/AuS9kZF4CY

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated