Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Thu Sep 17 11:45:09 +0000 2020

Likes

364

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So effectively, it's as though they have *two* panels rather than one, that get cycled in and out for one another over a 14-day period (plus some additional lag). Perhaps predictably, the poll is following an oscillating pattern so far over a ~14-day cycle. https://t.co/l53cqaMZe1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But they're implementing it in a very strange way. While their poll shows people who responded over the past *7* days, people are only asked to respond once every *14* days. (They then have 14 days to respond.) https://t.co/oCAa4pFFNu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You could get some mileage, I guess, by comparing the poll says to what it said ~14 days ago. But that still makes it a lagging indicator. In 2016, they polled people once every 7 days so the entire panel was represented in their 7-day window, a far more logical/coherent design. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated