Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 15 17:17:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's lead has slipped a bit in national polls to +7.0, but you'd be hard-pressed to find the same slippage in state polls and that's where most of the action has been lately. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yes, and this is often also true for lots of other things (see e.g. "cancel culture" or say views on Israel); pundits express concern on behalf of some hypothetical swing voter when it's actually their own concern. — PolitiTweet.org

Not just that the presumption that the shooting would help Trump was bad and without evidence, it is that it betray… https://t.co/X0o0hJ0ZBc

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW our forecast doesn't really use national polls for much. Their main purpose is for detecting a trend line, which is used to adjust polling averages in states with little recent polling. But with swing states having lots of polling lately, that adjustment doesn't matter much. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated