Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 4, 2021

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Thu Sep 10 15:29:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NickRiccardi Yeah, we'd been including oversamples as part of the sample size, but we're going to change to the weighted sample size as that should give a better estimate of the true MOE. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's a bit of a weird mix. Generally a point or two worse than the polling averages for Biden in the core tipping-point states. He's ahead so the bar is high. But some of his better results come in states (GA, CO, ME) that haven't been polled much lately. https://t.co/DGTCfza88d — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Plus one in Georgia and within 2 in Iowa and up 10 in Colorado is “mediocre?”.

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact is the presidental race is kind of boring from a polling standpoint right now. (Tho please don't hesitate to refresh my website 400 times a day.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated