Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 4, 2021

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Thu Sep 10 14:56:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's a bit of a weird mix. Generally a point or two worse than the polling averages for Biden in the core tipping-point states. He's ahead so the bar is high. But some of his better results come in states (GA, CO, ME) that haven't been polled much lately. https://t.co/DGTCfza88d — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Plus one in Georgia and within 2 in Iowa and up 10 in Colorado is “mediocre?”.

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 There's no grade because these groups (actually a collaboration between various well-known pollsters) are new, but they're assigned a default rating based on their methodological characteristics, which should be equivalent to around a B grade in this case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NickRiccardi Yeah, we'd been including oversamples as part of the sample size, but we're going to change to the weighted sample size as that should give a better estimate of the true MOE. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated