Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Wed Sep 09 12:51:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Other good news for Biden: Marist's poll showed him doing 1 point *better* among likely voters than registered voters. Same was true in their FL poll. Pollsters often switch from RV to LV after Labor Day, which sometimes helps Republicans, but doesn't seem to be helping Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Since PA is the tipping point state in nearly one-third of our simulations, any polling movement in the state can have an impact on the model's bottom line. Between Marist and some national polls, Biden's Electoral College chances have risen to 74%. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's national lead has also ticked up to 7.8 points, as our polling averages are starting to see more evidence that Trump got a small bump from the RNC which has since faded (or is still fading?). https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/ZSWsg8yeLl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated