Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Wed Sep 09 12:48:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Since PA is the tipping point state in nearly one-third of our simulations, any polling movement in the state can have an impact on the model's bottom line. Between Marist and some national polls, Biden's Electoral College chances have risen to 74%. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lotta polling out this morning and it's mostly been in a direction our model likes for Biden. The most influential number is in Pennsylvania, where Marist has Biden up 9 among likely voters. That gets Biden up to +5.1 in Pennsylvania from +4.1 before. https://t.co/wKbW02AGO5 https://t.co/hDZtxcMiEg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Other good news for Biden: Marist's poll showed him doing 1 point *better* among likely voters than registered voters. Same was true in their FL poll. Pollsters often switch from RV to LV after Labor Day, which sometimes helps Republicans, but doesn't seem to be helping Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated