Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Tue Sep 08 23:57:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We ran 12 updates to our model today. Here's how Biden's odds changed over the course of the day. Riveting stuff. 71% (overnight) 72% (6 AM) 72% (7 AM) 72% (10 AM) 72% (10:30 AM) 72% (10:50 AM) 71% (1 PM) 71% (1:20 PM) 71% (2 PM) 71% (3 PM) 72% (4 PM) 71% (5 PM) 71% (6 PM) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The phenomenon of polls recently underestimating Republican support in heavily WWC areas is well-known. But Democrats have often beat their polls in the past couple of cycles in Hispanic-heavy states like AZ, NV, TX and CA (though *not* FL, notably). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonathanchait Maybe we need to add more categories (Pretty Favored, More Favored Than Not, Favored To Some Extent) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated